Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
ALA
6 - 2
ATH
24%
21%
55%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
ATH
1 - 2
ALA
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
64%
17%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATH
35%
21%
44%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ATH
6 - 0
CEL
88%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1939 |
ATM
3 - 1
OSA
58%
19%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 3
SPO
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
5 - 1
ATM
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 3
SEV
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |