Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
15%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATH
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 2
RUN
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
ARE
3 - 3
ATH
41%
23%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATH
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 2
RSO
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSO
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATM
33%
20%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
3 - 3
RUN
62%
17%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |