Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1927 |
RUN
2 - 1
ATH
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
ATH
5 - 0
RUN
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATH
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
BET
2 - 1
ATM
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
3 - 1
CDP
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
1 - 1
BET
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
CDP
4 - 6
ATM
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATM
66%
18%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |