Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1921 |
ATH
2 - 4
SEV
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1921 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATH
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1921 |
ATH
2 - 1
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1920 |
ATH
0 - 2
FCB
57%
21%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
ATM
5 - 2
RUN
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1921 |
RUN
1 - 2
ATM
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |