Athletic vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
4.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.8%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.3%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.9%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
4.5%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.2%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.2%
2.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 2
CEL
72%
15%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ATM
3 - 2
ATH
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 2
ATH
68%
16%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
ARE
3 - 2
SDI
71%
15%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
SDE
2 - 3
ARE
34%
23%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BUR
3 - 2
ARE
46%
21%
33%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
MAE
2 - 1
ARE
48%
20%
32%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ARE
4 - 2
GIM
64%
18%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |