Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 10-2
Athletic vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
ARE
1 - 6
ATH
26%
22%
52%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
ATH
4 - 2
BAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
30%
22%
49%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 4
ATH
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ATH
3 - 0
RSO
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
ARE
1 - 6
ATH
26%
22%
52%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
SPO
4 - 3
ARE
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1944 |
ARE
2 - 0
SPO
35%
22%
43%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |