Athletic vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
ATH
1 - 1
FCB
61%
19%
21%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATH
80%
12%
9%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1954 |
ATH
4 - 1
VAD
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ATH
3 - 2
VAD
82%
11%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
RMA
7 - 0
ALA
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ALA
1 - 2
RMA
28%
22%
50%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
6 - 0
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
ALA
3 - 1
SDE
80%
12%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
RCF
0 - 0
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |