Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 10-0
Athletic vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
4.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.9%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.5%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.7%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 6
ATH
21%
20%
59%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 4
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
CEL
84%
10%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 6
ATH
21%
20%
59%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
RSO
2 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
8%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ARE
3 - 0
ALA
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SDE
1 - 0
ALA
28%
22%
50%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |