Athletic vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
42%
24%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
ATH
3 - 1
BET
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
ATH
6 - 3
LOG
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
LOG
0 - 6
ATH
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
ATH
4 - 0
RUN
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 2
RAC
36%
20%
44%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
SAB
3 - 2
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAB
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
EUR
1 - 0
ALA
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |