Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Athletic vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1932 |
ATH
4 - 1
RUN
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
RUN
1 - 3
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATH
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
ARE
2 - 1
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
ATH
4 - 0
ESP
76%
13%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1932 |
ALA
3 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1932 |
ATM
6 - 0
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
ALA
7 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
OSA
1 - 1
ALA
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
ALA
3 - 1
OSA
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |