Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Bilbao Ath. vs Villarreal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
TUD
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
OSA
0 - 3
ATH
18%
26%
57%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ATH
8 - 0
LEA
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 2
ATH
13%
26%
62%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ATH
3 - 1
BUR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
PXD
0 - 1
VIL
18%
27%
55%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 3
PER
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ZAR
1 - 4
VIL
19%
27%
55%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAD
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAB
1 - 1
VIL
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |