Bilbao Ath. vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 0
ATH
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATH
43%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ATH
3 - 2
OSA
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AZK
1 - 2
ATH
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
TAL
3 - 1
ZAR
34%
30%
36%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CDT
1 - 1
TAL
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
TAL
0 - 0
UBC
40%
28%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AMU
2 - 1
TAL
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
TAL
1 - 2
AUR
51%
27%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |