Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-0
Bilbao Ath. vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ATH
3 - 0
CFC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
FIG
1 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
ATH
0 - 1
RAY
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATH
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
ATH
0 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SEV
2 - 1
SSR
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1987 |
SEV
0 - 0
UTR
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
DAI
1 - 0
SEV
39%
30%
31%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SEV
1 - 1
LIN
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1987 |
UTR
0 - 1
SEV
51%
22%
26%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +2 |