Bilbao Ath. vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
UBC
2 - 1
ATH
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
NOJ
1 - 1
ATH
21%
28%
51%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 2
AMU
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
ATH
2 - 1
BAR
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
ELG
1 - 0
ATH
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
ZAR
1 - 0
NOJ
68%
21%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 0
ZAR
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
ZAR
1 - 2
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ZAR
2 - 1
OSA
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GER
1 - 1
ZAR
36%
30%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |