Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-6
Bilbao Ath. vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
ENS
2 - 0
ATH
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ZAR
5 - 0
ATH
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
ATH
1 - 0
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ATH
2 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
BAR
2 - 0
ATH
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RUN
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ZAR
5 - 0
ATH
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
RSO
5 - 0
ZAR
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ZAR
2 - 0
EIB
45%
27%
29%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
AND
1 - 2
ZAR
72%
18%
11%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |