Bilbao Ath. vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
NOJ
5 - 0
ATH
25%
27%
47%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ATH
4 - 0
TAL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 0
ATH
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 0
ZAR
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
OSA
1 - 1
RUN
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2003 |
RUN
0 - 4
OSA
18%
26%
55%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
UBC
3 - 2
RUN
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |