Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-2
Bilbao Ath. vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
CDT
2 - 2
ATH
56%
27%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ATH
2 - 1
LOG
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ATH
2 - 1
SDE
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATH
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ATH
1 - 1
LLE
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
RUN
2 - 2
BKE
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
LON
0 - 1
RUN
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
DEU
2 - 1
RUN
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
RUN
0 - 1
ZOR
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
GER
0 - 0
RUN
43%
27%
31%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |