Bilbao Ath. vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
29%
30%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
ATH
33%
30%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 0
CEL
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ALA
0 - 1
ATH
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SPB
3 - 2
ZAM
36%
27%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
GIM
0 - 0
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
SPB
4 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ROB
1 - 4
SPB
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 0
AMU
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |