Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-4
Bilbao Ath. vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ATH
4 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
LOG
2 - 2
ATH
61%
23%
15%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ATH
2 - 0
HUE
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATH
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ATH
4 - 0
ENS
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAS
1 - 3
RSO
25%
30%
45%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 0
SPO
62%
21%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
UDL
0 - 0
RSO
39%
29%
32%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 0
CAD
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
RSO
0 - 0
CSK
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |