Bilbao Ath. vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
ALG
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ALG
0 - 0
ATH
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
ZAM
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATH
50%
28%
22%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 2
BUR
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 1
RSO
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
RSO
2 - 0
ARE
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LEM
2 - 1
RSO
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
RSO
1 - 2
LON
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SDS
1 - 5
RSO
17%
25%
58%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |