Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-0
Bilbao Ath. vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
CUL
2 - 0
ATH
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ATH
0 - 0
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATH
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ATH
39%
31%
30%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ATH
4 - 1
UPL
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 1
CDT
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
SSC
2 - 1
RSO
56%
27%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATH
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
RSO
2 - 0
CUL
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ENS
1 - 3
RSO
51%
30%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |