Bilbao Ath. vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
LPA
2 - 0
ATH
43%
30%
27%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
ATH
0 - 0
LOG
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
CEL
2 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
ATH
7 - 0
RCF
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
CUL
2 - 1
ATH
60%
25%
15%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
RSO
1 - 0
CDT
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
HUE
0 - 1
RSO
57%
26%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
RSO
1 - 1
DEP
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
ZAM
1 - 1
RSO
54%
29%
17%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 0
UPL
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |