Bilbao Ath. vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 1
ATH
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ATH
1 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LOG
3 - 0
ATH
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ATH
0 - 0
ALF
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RUN
1 - 2
ATH
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AVI
0 - 1
RAC
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PON
1 - 0
AVI
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AVI
1 - 2
CEL
28%
32%
41%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 0
AVI
65%
21%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AVI
0 - 1
LOG
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |