Bilbao Ath. vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CSA
1 - 0
ATH
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 0
LUG
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 1
CUL
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 1
ATH
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
ATH
3 - 1
BAR
39%
29%
32%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
RCF
1 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 5
RCF
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
3 - 0
RCF
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
RCF
2 - 1
DEP
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PON
2 - 3
RCF
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |