Bilbao Ath. vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
COM
0 - 0
ATH
48%
30%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
ATH
1 - 5
LOG
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
HUE
1 - 0
ATH
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ATH
0 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ENS
0 - 1
ATH
42%
32%
26%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
RCF
2 - 1
ZAM
37%
32%
32%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
RCF
0 - 0
COM
54%
29%
18%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
LOG
1 - 1
RCF
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
RCF
1 - 0
HUE
49%
29%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 0
RCF
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |