Bilbao Ath. vs Pontevedra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
LUG
0 - 1
ATH
40%
29%
32%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 1
SSC
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
ATH
3 - 1
TRJ
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
66%
18%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
UPL
0 - 1
ATH
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pontevedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
PON
1 - 0
UPL
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 0
PON
67%
22%
11%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
PON
1 - 2
HUE
70%
21%
10%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ZAM
1 - 0
PON
34%
34%
33%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
PON
2 - 0
LOG
79%
16%
5%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |