Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-3
Bilbao Ath. vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
1 - 0
OVI
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 0
ATH
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
PON
2 - 5
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
3 - 0
ATH
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
CAC
0 - 1
PON
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
PON
4 - 0
ARE
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
SDI
3 - 0
PON
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
PON
2 - 5
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
PON
5 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |