Bilbao Ath. vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
UBC
0 - 0
ATH
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 0
BUR
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LOG
0 - 1
ATH
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
OSA
29%
29%
42%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
HUE
2 - 0
PEÑ
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
LOG
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CDG
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LEM
24%
31%
45%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |