Bilbao Ath. vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
ATH
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ATH
1 - 2
UBC
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 1
ATH
47%
29%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 3
LOG
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 2
ATH
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CFP
0 - 1
OSA
47%
29%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
HUE
2 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CFP
1 - 3
LOG
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CDG
2 - 0
CFP
43%
30%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CFP
2 - 1
LEM
38%
31%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |