Bilbao Ath. vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
PON
0 - 1
ATH
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
29%
30%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
ATH
33%
30%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 1
ZAM
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 3
CDO
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CDO
4 - 2
UNI
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ROB
0 - 3
CDO
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CDO
0 - 1
AMU
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |