Bilbao Ath. vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
BFC
0 - 2
ATH
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
TRJ
1 - 0
ATH
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1979 |
ATH
3 - 1
ENS
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
UPL
1 - 0
ATH
62%
22%
15%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ATH
4 - 0
SPB
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
CDO
1 - 1
LPA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ATB
8 - 1
CDO
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CDO
1 - 3
RCF
58%
26%
15%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDO
71%
20%
10%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ARO
1 - 0
CDO
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |