Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-4
Bilbao Ath. vs Osasuna Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 1
LEM
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
CAU
2 - 1
ATH
32%
31%
37%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 1
GRA
83%
13%
5%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
CAN
0 - 1
ATH
29%
30%
41%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
ATH
4 - 2
AVI
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
PEG
4 - 1
OSA
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
OSA
1 - 0
AND
57%
24%
20%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
HUE
2 - 1
OSA
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |