Bilbao Ath. vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 2
CUL
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
RUN
3 - 1
ATH
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ATH
3 - 1
ENS
77%
15%
7%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
CFP
1 - 0
ATH
41%
29%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
ATH
4 - 0
ATB
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
UPL
1 - 2
MIR
43%
30%
27%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1979 |
MIR
1 - 1
CDT
53%
27%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
HUE
3 - 0
MIR
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MIR
1 - 0
ZAM
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
LOG
0 - 0
MIR
40%
30%
30%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |