Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-1
Bilbao Ath. vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CUL
3 - 2
ATH
82%
13%
6%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
0 - 0
ENS
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATH
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
TUR
2 - 1
ATH
40%
30%
31%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
5 - 0
GIN
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
MIR
1 - 2
TOL
85%
12%
4%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
GUA
2 - 1
MIR
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATH
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
MIR
2 - 0
ATB
33%
32%
36%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SAL
2 - 1
MIR
17%
24%
60%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |