Bilbao Ath. vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 2
COM
21%
26%
54%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CUL
2 - 0
ATH
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ATH
0 - 0
BAR
41%
29%
31%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
CDO
1 - 0
ATH
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ATH
0 - 0
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 0
GIM
35%
29%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
UNI
1 - 1
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
LUG
2 - 0
ROB
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
AMU
0 - 0
LUG
51%
26%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |