Bilbao Ath. vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
BER
1 - 2
ATH
23%
28%
48%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
ATH
4 - 0
CUL
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 0
ATH
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
ATH
3 - 0
RCF
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
AVI
0 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
LUG
0 - 0
ROB
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 0
LUG
46%
30%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
LUG
4 - 0
UPL
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
PON
1 - 0
LUG
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
49%
29%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |