Bilbao Ath. vs Guijuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 1
ATH
48%
27%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SES
1 - 1
ATH
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ATH
2 - 1
ALA
46%
26%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
RUN
3 - 0
ATH
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ATH
1 - 0
RSO
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
CDG
2 - 0
SES
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
RUN
1 - 0
CDG
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CDG
0 - 0
LEM
32%
29%
40%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CFP
1 - 1
CDG
55%
26%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CDG
3 - 1
MIR
36%
29%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |