Bilbao Ath. vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TUD
3 - 2
ATH
18%
28%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDV
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ATH
3 - 2
CLH
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SPB
3 - 1
ATH
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
RUN
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
CLH
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SPB
0 - 1
GIM
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 2
UPL
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
GIM
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |