Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-2
Bilbao Ath. vs CD Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
HUE
1 - 1
ATH
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 1
ZAM
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
LOG
2 - 2
ATH
30%
29%
40%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1978 |
CDG
1 - 2
ATH
28%
22%
50%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
3 - 0
CAU
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
LON
0 - 1
CDG
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CDG
0 - 1
TOL
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RSO
4 - 2
CDG
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1978 |
CDG
1 - 2
ATH
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CDG
0 - 1
TUD
49%
27%
24%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |