Bilbao Ath. vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
COM
1 - 1
ATH
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 2
CUL
40%
29%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
BAR
5 - 0
ATH
50%
28%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ATH
5 - 0
CDO
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
PON
0 - 1
ATH
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
SPB
3 - 0
GER
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
CAU
50%
28%
22%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
PON
27%
29%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
CEL
44%
30%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |