Bilbao Ath. vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
PON
1 - 0
ATH
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ATH
0 - 0
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ATH
1 - 0
ALA
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ATH
0 - 0
CAU
59%
23%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAM
30%
29%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
GIM
1 - 1
GER
56%
24%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
GER
1 - 0
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ROB
1 - 2
GER
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
AMU
31%
31%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |