Bilbao Ath. vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
CUL
1 - 0
ATH
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2001 |
ATH
1 - 1
AMU
58%
25%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
BEA
2 - 1
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
ATH
0 - 1
BUR
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
BIN
0 - 4
ATH
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
BAR
29%
30%
42%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
EIB
1 - 0
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
CLH
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
AUR
2 - 0
GER
43%
28%
28%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
GER
0 - 0
ALA
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |