Bilbao Ath. vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ALA
1 - 4
ATH
35%
28%
38%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
AUR
2 - 1
ATH
42%
29%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 0
GIM
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ATH
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 0
UBC
58%
24%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GER
1 - 2
OSA
49%
28%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
BAR
28%
29%
43%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CLU
0 - 0
GER
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |