Bilbao Ath. vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
CLU
2 - 2
ATH
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
ATH
2 - 0
LEM
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
BIN
1 - 2
ATH
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ATH
1 - 0
AUR
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
BUR
0 - 0
ATH
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
LEM
0 - 1
GER
42%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
GER
2 - 1
AUR
26%
30%
44%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
TRO
2 - 0
GER
25%
28%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
GER
1 - 0
CUL
27%
30%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
UBC
0 - 0
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |