Bilbao Ath. vs Galáctico Pegaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
COM
2 - 1
ATH
40%
28%
31%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
MIR
6 - 2
ATH
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ATH
3 - 0
BAS
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SSC
2 - 5
ATH
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
ATH
5 - 2
CFP
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PEG
5 - 0
BAS
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SSC
1 - 0
PEG
56%
25%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
PEG
1 - 1
CFP
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
HUE
0 - 1
PEG
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
PEG
1 - 1
RCF
54%
26%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |