Bilbao Ath. vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 1
ATH
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ATH
0 - 2
AMU
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 4
ATH
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 0
LOG
47%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ALF
1 - 1
ATH
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 2
RAC
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PON
2 - 1
ALA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 2
CEL
52%
27%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LOG
1 - 0
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 2
ALA
36%
29%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |