Bilbao Ath. vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 1
NOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
AMU
4 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
ATH
4 - 0
ELG
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 3
ATH
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
ALA
0 - 1
TOL
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
LON
2 - 0
ALA
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ALA
3 - 1
ZAL
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
AUR
1 - 1
ALA
20%
26%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
ALA
1 - 1
SDA
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |