Bilbao Ath. vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ATH
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATH
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 1
OSA
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ATH
1 - 1
HUE
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LOG
1 - 2
ATH
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CUL
0 - 0
OSA
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
HUE
3 - 1
CUL
52%
26%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
CUL
3 - 2
LOG
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
CUL
3 - 2
CDG
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
LEM
1 - 1
CUL
47%
28%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |