Bilbao Ath. vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ATH
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATH
0 - 1
LOG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
HAR
0 - 2
ATH
15%
25%
61%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATH
2 - 1
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
ATH
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LOG
1 - 0
CUL
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CUL
4 - 3
ALF
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
GIM
0 - 0
CUL
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CUL
2 - 2
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALA
2 - 1
CUL
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |