Bilbao Ath. vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
0 - 2
IZA
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ATH
0 - 1
PON
28%
29%
44%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CFP
1 - 1
ATH
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MIR
0 - 2
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 1
SES
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
EIB
3 - 2
CEL
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |